NY
New York Knicks
0–0
Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Spread (CHI)
0
Total
0
Home moneyline
—
Model win probability — NY 37% · CHI 63% · model score 111–115
Best bet
+245Chicago Bulls moneyline +245
Best price
+245
Model edge
+33.6%
Confidence
Moderate confidenceModel sees value, but uncertainty remains.
The model favors Chicago Bulls to win outright — it rates them 62.6% against the 29.0% implied by +245, the strongest edge it has priced for this game.
Model confidence is not a guarantee. Bet responsibly and only risk what you can afford to lose.
Model projection
what the model makes of this game, and how sure it isWhy this bet
The model rates Chicago Bulls ML at 62.6%, above the 29.0% implied by +245, so the market is paying more than the model's number — a very strong edge of +33.6%. The projection leans on Model rating gap (1430 vs 1390 — worth about +4.0 points to Chicago Bulls before the market) and Home court (Playing at home is modelled at 2.6 points in the NBA). The biggest risk: the rating rests on a thin sample of finished games. On confidence: Model sees value, but uncertainty remains. Treat it as a considered lean rather than a certain one.
Model prediction · Moneyline
Moderate confidenceChicago Bulls ML
Price +245
Model probability
Break-even
price implied
Estimated edge
Model score
total 226
The model is 4.0 points higher on CHI than the board is.
What is driving it
- Model rating gap
1430 vs 1390 — worth about +4.0 points to Chicago Bulls before the market
- Home court
Playing at home is modelled at 2.6 points in the NBA
- Recent form
New York Knicks no games · Chicago Bulls L (oldest to newest)
- Thin data
Only 0 finished game(s) of sample for these two teams — the rating is a starting point, not a settled number
Sample quality: Thin sample · model v1.0 · model number Oct 27, 2:03 AM ET · sportsbook number not published. These are estimated probabilities, not guarantees — no outcome is certain and past results do not predict future ones.
Sportsbook comparison
4 sportsbooks quoting this game| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics Markets | CHI0—NY0— | CHI+212NY-285 | Over0—Under— | Oct 27, 11:32 AM ET |
| Fliff | CHI0—NY0— | CHI+225NY-285 | Over0—Under— | Oct 27, 11:32 AM ET |
| Kalshi | CHI0—NY0— | CHI+245NY-257 | Over0—Under— | Oct 27, 11:24 AM ET |
| Polymarket | CHI0—NY0— | CHI+245NY-257 | Over0—Under— | Oct 27, 11:31 AM ET |
Spread
CHI0—NY0—Moneyline
CHI+212NY-285Total
Over0—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 11:32 AM ET
Spread
CHI0—NY0—Moneyline
CHI+225NY-285Total
Over0—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 11:32 AM ET
Spread
CHI0—NY0—Moneyline
CHI+245NY-257Total
Over0—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 11:24 AM ET
Spread
CHI0—NY0—Moneyline
CHI+245NY-257Total
Over0—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 11:31 AM ET
Best available price in each column is highlighted. Implied probability of the best CHI spread price: —. Prices are the ones our feeds publish and may differ from your book.
Drawing the chart…
Line movement
opening number to nowDrawing the chart…
Match analytics
the model against the market, read as chartsDrawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Recent meetings
NY vs CHINo completed meetings in our records yet.
Reading this page
Prices are the best numbers we hold; your sportsbook may show something different. The best price in each column is highlighted, which is the one worth asking for. Probabilities come from the model described under every pick and are estimates only — no outcome is ever guaranteed, and past model results do not predict future ones.
Advanced analytics
the model's own audit trail for this gameProjection history
every snapshot the model recorded
No snapshots recorded for this game yet. History starts from the first sync after a projection appears.
Each entry holds the model's number and the book's number as they stood at that moment. Nothing is recalculated with results or line moves that arrived later.