Model picks

Model probability against the break-even implied by the market price. A positive model edge is an estimate from our numbers, never a promise.

Market data live· odds updated Oct 27, 1:34 PM ET

Graded picks

all time

Correct

0 incorrect

Accuracy

—

last 30 days

Pushes

excluded from accuracy

Top model opportunities

ranked by edge, confidence, sample quality and market availability

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This is where the model disagrees most with the price on offer. A higher rank means a larger estimated edge, not a likely winner — every one of these can lose.

NBA · Upcoming

SAC@SA

—

model edge

Best price

—

Model

—

Confidence

Moderate

Full game analysis →

NBA · Upcoming

NY@CHI

—

model edge

Best price

—

Model

—

Confidence

Moderate

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NBA · Upcoming

DET@NY

—

model edge

Best price

—

Model

—

Confidence

Moderate

Full game analysis →

Rookie shows the top 3 of 6 ranked opportunities, with the prices but not the reasoning, the risk read or the book comparison. Pro opens the whole slate.

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An edge is the model's probability against the chance the price implies. It is an estimate from our numbers, never a guarantee of the result. Bet responsibly.

Advanced filters and similar-spot history are part of All-Star.

Model vs market

Pro

Every pick's model probability drawn against the chance its price implies, so you can see exactly where the two disagree.

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Positive model edge

22 priced picks

NBA · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

SAC@SA

Model lean

Spread

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET

NY@CHI

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

DET@NY

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET

PHI@IND

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Wed, Oct 28 · 9:30 PM ET

OKC@DAL

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 11:00 PM ET

POR@LAL

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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MLB · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

MIL@TB

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 10:30 PM ET

BUF@SJ

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NFL · Upcoming · Thu, Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET

CAR@GB

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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CFB · Upcoming · Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET

JXST@NMSU

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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CFB · Upcoming · Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET

KENN@MTSU

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

BOS@CAR

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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CFB · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM ET

DEL@WKU

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM ET

CBJ@PHI

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

NJ@DAL

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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CFB · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

SHSU@MOST

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NBA · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 7:30 PM ET

BKN@BOS

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceModerate confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 10:00 PM ET

VAN@ANA

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

NYI@NSH

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

FLA@WPG

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 10:00 PM ET

OTT@VGK

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

LA@CHI

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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Model confidence is not a guarantee. Bet responsibly and only risk what you can afford to lose.

Smaller model edges

under 2% against the market price

NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 9:00 PM ET

MIN@UTA

Model lean

Total

ConfidenceLow confidence

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NHL · Upcoming · Tue, Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET

MTL@STL

Model lean

Moneyline

ConfidenceLow confidence

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Awaiting a market price

model projection only — no edge can be claimed yet

Model projection — no current market price

NHL · Wed, Oct 28 · 7:30 PM ET

PHI@WSH

Model line projection

Model win probability

PHI —WSH —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model projection — no current market price

NHL · Wed, Oct 28 · 8:30 PM ET

CGY@EDM

Model line projection

Model win probability

CGY —EDM —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model projection — no current market price

NHL · Wed, Oct 28 · 9:00 PM ET

NJ@COL

Model line projection

Model win probability

NJ —COL —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model projection — no current market price

NHL · Wed, Oct 28 · 10:00 PM ET

TOR@SEA

Model line projection

Model win probability

TOR —SEA —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model projection — no current market price

NBA · Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET

MIA@ATL

Model line projection

Model win probability

MIA —ATL —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model projection — no current market price

NBA · Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET

GS@MIN

Model line projection

Model win probability

GS —MIN —

Low confidenceNo betting edge claimed

Game centre →

Model analytics

movement, closing line value and how the model has graded, cut by confidence, sample, league and market

Advanced model analytics

All-Star

How the model's estimated edge has trended week by week, how picks grade by confidence, side and market, and closing line value against the closing number.

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Historical model record

graded picks only

Every pick the model has published is graded when the game finishes. Pro shows the overall record; All-Star opens the breakdown by edge band, confidence, market and league.

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