SA
San Antonio Spurs
0–0
Wed, Oct 28 · 9:00 PM ET
UTAH
Utah Jazz
Spread (UTAH)
0
Total
0
Home moneyline
—
Model win probability — SA 44% · UTAH 56% · model score 112–114
Best bet
No bet
No sportsbook price is published for this game yet, so the model's own projection cannot be priced into a bet.
Model confidence is not a guarantee. Bet responsibly and only risk what you can afford to lose.
Model projection
what the model makes of this game, and how sure it isWhy this bet
No strong betting edge — no market price is published for this game yet, so there is nothing to price this against; the model's own projection is 55.7%. The projection leans on Model rating gap (1441 vs 1463 — worth about +1.8 points to Utah Jazz before the market) and Home court (Playing at home is modelled at 2.6 points in the NBA). The biggest risk: the rating rests on a thin sample of finished games. On confidence: Small edge or limited supporting data. Treat it as a considered lean rather than a certain one.
Model prediction · Model line (no price published)
Low confidenceUtah Jazz -1.8 (model line — no price published)
Model probability
Break-even
Estimated edge
Model score
total 226
The model is 1.8 points higher on UTAH than the board is.
What is driving it
- Model rating gap
1441 vs 1463 — worth about +1.8 points to Utah Jazz before the market
- Home court
Playing at home is modelled at 2.6 points in the NBA
- Recent form
San Antonio Spurs no games · Utah Jazz L (oldest to newest)
- Thin data
Only 0 finished game(s) of sample for these two teams — the rating is a starting point, not a settled number
No sportsbook price available — model projection only. No betting edge claimed.
Sample quality: Thin sample · model v1.0 · model number Oct 27, 2:03 AM ET · sportsbook number not published. These are estimated probabilities, not guarantees — no outcome is certain and past results do not predict future ones.
Sportsbook comparison
no market price published yetNo sportsbook price is currently available for this game. Numbers appear here as sportsbooks post them.
Drawing the chart…
Line movement
opening number to nowDrawing the chart…
Match analytics
the model against the market, read as chartsDrawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Recent meetings
SA vs UTAHNo completed meetings in our records yet.
Team news
injuries and updatesJazz's Lauri Markkanen (wrist), Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) exit vs. Grizzlies
Jazz forwards Lauri Markkanen (wrist) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) both exited with injuries early in the first half of Monday night's loss to the Grizzlies.
ESPN
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz: Game Highlights
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz: Game Highlights
ESPN
Grizzlies outlast Jazz for second win in four games over Utah
— Cedric Coward tallied 16 points and 11 rebounds to lead the Memphis Grizzlies to a 110-105 victory over the Utah Jazz on Monday night — their second in four games over Utah.
ESPN
Grizzlies outlast Jazz for second win in four games over Utah
— Cedric Coward tallied 16 points and 11 rebounds to lead the Memphis Grizzlies to a 110-105 victory over the Utah Jazz on Monday night — their second in four games over Utah.
ESPN
Reading this page
Prices are the best numbers we hold; your sportsbook may show something different. The best price in each column is highlighted, which is the one worth asking for. Probabilities come from the model described under every pick and are estimates only — no outcome is ever guaranteed, and past model results do not predict future ones.
Advanced analytics
the model's own audit trail for this gameProjection history
every snapshot the model recorded
No snapshots recorded for this game yet. History starts from the first sync after a projection appears.
Each entry holds the model's number and the book's number as they stood at that moment. Nothing is recalculated with results or line moves that arrived later.