PHI
Philadelphia Flyers
0–0
Wed, Oct 28 · 7:30 PM ET
WSH
Washington Capitals
Spread (WSH)
-230
Total
6.5
Home moneyline
—
Model win probability — PHI 40% · WSH 60% · model score 3–3
Best bet
No bet
No sportsbook price is published for this game yet, so the model's own projection cannot be priced into a bet.
Model confidence is not a guarantee. Bet responsibly and only risk what you can afford to lose.
Model projection
what the model makes of this game, and how sure it isWhy this bet
No strong betting edge — no market price is published for this game yet, so there is nothing to price this against; the model's own projection is 59.7%. The projection leans on Model rating gap (1522 vs 1456 — worth about +0.6 points to Washington Capitals before the market) and Market move (The line has moved +8.0 from the opening number). On the game itself, the number has moved 8 points since it opened. The biggest risk: the rating rests on a thin sample of finished games, and the market has already moved part of the way.
Model prediction · Model line (no price published)
Low confidenceWashington Capitals -0.6 (model line — no price published)
Model probability
Break-even
Estimated edge
Model score
total 6.2
The model is 229.4 points higher on PHI than the board is. That is a wide disagreement for this league.
What is driving it
- Model rating gap
1522 vs 1456 — worth about +0.6 points to Washington Capitals before the market
- Market move
The line has moved +8.0 from the opening number
- Thin data
Only 0 finished game(s) of sample for these two teams — the rating is a starting point, not a settled number
No sportsbook price available — model projection only. No betting edge claimed.
Sample quality: Thin sample · model v1.0 · model number Oct 27, 2:05 AM ET · sportsbook number Oct 27, 1:45 PM ET. These are estimated probabilities, not guarantees — no outcome is certain and past results do not predict future ones.
Sportsbook comparison
2 sportsbooks quoting this game| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Kingsfeed line | WSH-230—PHI+230— | WSH—PHI— | Over6.5—Under— | Oct 27, 1:45 PM ET |
| DraftKingsfeed line | WSH-238—PHI+238— | WSH—PHI— | Over6.5—Under— | Oct 27, 11:35 AM ET |
Spread
WSH-230—PHI+230—Moneyline
WSH—PHI—Total
Over6.5—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 1:45 PM ET
Spread
WSH-238—PHI+238—Moneyline
WSH—PHI—Total
Over6.5—Under—Updated
Oct 27, 11:35 AM ET
Best available price in each column is highlighted. Implied probability of the best WSH spread price: —. Prices are the ones our feeds publish and may differ from your book.
Drawing the chart…
Line movement
opening number to now · 2 recordedDrawing the chart…
Match analytics
the model against the market, read as chartsDrawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Drawing the chart…
Recent meetings
PHI vs WSHNo completed meetings in our records yet.
Reading this page
Prices are the best numbers we hold; your sportsbook may show something different. The best price in each column is highlighted, which is the one worth asking for. Probabilities come from the model described under every pick and are estimates only — no outcome is ever guaranteed, and past model results do not predict future ones.
Advanced analytics
the model's own audit trail for this gameProjection history
every snapshot the model recorded
No snapshots recorded for this game yet. History starts from the first sync after a projection appears.
Each entry holds the model's number and the book's number as they stood at that moment. Nothing is recalculated with results or line moves that arrived later.